Temporal trends and patterns in heart failure incidence: a population-based study of 4 million individuals

Aims Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome with significant social and economic burden. We aimed to estimate the burden of HF in mainland Portugal over a 22‐year time horizon, between 2014 and 2036. Methods and results Heart failure burden was measured in disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs), resulting from the sum of years of life lost (YLL) due to premature death and years lost due to disability (YLD). YLL were estimated based on the Portuguese mortality rates reported by the European Detailed Mortality Database. For YLD, disease duration and the overall incidence were estimated using an epidemiological model developed by the World Health Organization (DISMOD II). Disability weights were retrieved from published literature. The impact of ageing was estimated with a shift‐share analysis using official demographic projections. In 2014, 4688 deaths were attributed to HF, corresponding to 4.7% of the total deaths in mainland Portugal. DALYs totalled 21 162, 53.9% due to premature death (YLL: 11 398) and 46.1% due to disability (YLD: 9765). Considering only population ageing over a 22‐year horizon, the deaths and burden of HF are expected to increase by 73.0% and 27.9%, respectively, reaching 8112 deaths and 27 059 DALYs lost due to HF in 2036. DALY's growth is mainly driven by the increase of YLL, whose contribution to overall burden will increase to 62.0%. Conclusions Heart failure is an emerging and growing health problem where significant health gains may be obtained. The projected significant increase of HF burden highlights the need to set HF as a priority for healthcare system.

Background: Despite clinical optimization, many chronic heart failure (CHF) patients remain symptomatic with dyspnea and poor quality of life. Study Objective: While oxygen therapy is prescribed in severe cases, the actual prevalence of different patterns of hypoxemia is unknown. Methods: We analyzed 183 stable CHF patients with optimized medical treatment in the “MARS” database. The patients underwent cardiorespiratory sleep recording and complete daytime pulmonary function tests including arterial blood gases. Results: This prospective cohort was predominately male (86.3%) with a mean age of 67.3 years (59.3; 75.7) and a mean BMI of 26.7 kg/m² (23.7; 31.1). The patients were mainly in NYHA classes II and III with a mean left ventricular ejection fraction of 38%. 102 (55.61%) patients had ischemic cardiomyopathy with multiple comorbidities, and 64 (35.06%) had airflow obstruction. 8 (4.37%) patients had hypoxemia both day and night, and 151 (82.5%) had nocturnal hypoxemia only. All but 3 patients had sleep-disordered breathing (SDB), and either obstructive (59%) or central sleep apnea (39%) with a mean apnea-hypopnea index of 29.59/h (16.48; 48.27), an oxygen desaturation index of 27.09/h (14.09; 45.25), time below 90% saturation of 18 min (2; 64), and a mean nocturnal saturation of 93% (92; 94). Univariate analysis found nocturnal hypoxemia was associated with higher BMI and NT-proBNP levels. In multivariate analysis, only sleep apnea severity (p < 0.0001) and diurnal PaO₂ remained significant. Conclusion: Most stable CHF patients suffer from nocturnal hypoxemia, while daytime hypoxemia is relatively rare. The degree of nocturnal hypoxemia depends on the severity of SDB. Hypoxemia phenotyping and severity could help better evaluate the need for appropriate therapy in CHF patients.

Despite progress in cardiovascular medicine, the incidence of heart failure is rising and represents a growing challenge. To address this, ex vivo proliferated heart-derived cell products have emerged as a promising investigational cell-treatment option. Despite being originally proposed as a straightforward myocyte replacement strategy, emerging evidence has shown that cell-mediated gains in cardiac function are leveraged on paracrine stimulation of endogenous repair and tissue salvage. In this concise review, we focus on the paracrine repertoire of heart-derived cells and outline strategies used to boost cell potency by targeting cytokines, metabolic preconditioning and supportive biomaterials. Mechanistic insights from these studies will shape future efforts to use defined factors and/or synthetic cell approaches to help the millions of patients worldwide suffering from heart failure. Stem Cells 2018.